Tuesday, June 19, 2007

It's a small world

The world would have no population problems if there were unlimited farmlands, resources, and water. Unfortunately, we live on an earth struggling to find room for its growing population. The earth’s estimated population is currently at 6,602,224,175. Experts believe that the world’s carrying capacity (maximum population size in a given area, based on level of resources, predators, and land) will be reached by 2015, at over 8 billion people. Can the world sustain this many people? Will there be mass starvation because of a lack of food?

To answer this question we must look at another population which experienced what we are currently are going through. In 1906 President Theodore Roosevelt established the Grand Canyon National Game Preserve on the Kaibab Plateau. He wanted to preserve the Kaibab deer for future generations. So in the following years the U.S. Forest Service limited hunting and killed of the deer’s natural predators: the wolf, bobcat, and mountain lion. They also removed other grazing animals from nearby ranches to give the deer enough to eat. What the ranchers saw in the years that followed was shocking. Each year the Forest Service estimated that the population of deer had risen exponentially. In 1913, when the president himself visited the plateau, he noted the abundance of deer. The fall of 1920 saw the population of deer begin to starve. Five years later, in 1925, the deer population reached a staggering 150,000 (in 1905 it was about 10,000). The following year 60% of the herd starved to death, bringing the population down to about 40,000. The Forest Service then realized their grave mistake and opened the park to predators and hunters. It took another ten years to bring the population back to the originally stable 10,000 dear. What can we learn about this experiment? A lot. First, we know that once predators and land are taken care of, the population will rise to new heights. Second, if there is a lack of food, the population will plummet to a more stable number. Can we apply this experiment to the human population boom of the 21st century? Yes.

Let’s examine the history of the world’s population. In the years before the Common Era, the world’s population was at a steadily growing at around 100-150 million people. By the 14th century, the world’s population had doubled to around 300 million people. The 19th century would see an almost doubling in population from 900 million to around 1.6 billion by the turn of the century. From then on it took just 50 years for the world’s population to double to 2.4 billion by 1950, and to double again in 35 years to 5 billion. The world’s increase in population can be seen clearly by the map below.

This population trend has similar features as the Kaibab deer. Will the populace take a deep fall by 2015? Who will be most affected? Can we avoid this reality?

Advances in modern medicine, irrigation, and engineering have allowed the population to boom. Medicine has saved millions of lives in all over the world. From malaria pills to generic drugs, medicine has allowed humans to live longer and reproduce more. But is this a blessing or a curse? We must face the reality that if the population is not controlled by diseases and the like, than it will have to be controlled by starvation. Every day, doctors are engineering new drugs to save the lives of thousands, and with the cure for cancer looming ahead, even more lives will be saved. Who will eventually pay for these new miracles? The answer is that countries that are dependant on others for food and water will go first. Each country will fend for itself, and the countries that rely on them will perish. For instance, the United States can produce enough food and water to sustain itself for decades, Japan, on the other hand, will not be able to sustain itself. This comes back to Darwin’s theory of survival of the fittest. In this case, the United States is more fit for survival than Japan, consequently, the U.S. will survive and Japan will perish.

This fate can be avoided, and many countries are already gearing up for what is ahead. China has implemented a one child only policy to try and control it’s ever growing populace. Although this policy seems unfair and or immoral, it has still slowed China’s population. Radical ideas of population slaughter, orchestrated conflicts, and genocide have been proposed by the Illuminati. China’s growth policy is altogether smart and, in the long run, it will work well.

What will be the solution to the population boom here in the U.S.? Will our constitution allow such rigorous laws? Our constitution would never allow the one child only policy, as it violates the bill of rights. One possibility is that our government would place taxes on each child. This law however, would almost never pass in today’s congress. Now, with the population over 300 million, the United States is looking into new ways of dealing with this threat. Many people don’t know a well guarded government secret called artificial inflation. Because farmers in the Midwest produce so much excess food, the government actually destroys some to keep prices up! If there was an overabundance of food then the price would plummet and hurt the economy of the farmers. As stupid as this may sound, the fact that the United States has the ability to be able to actually destroy crop means that they have enough for future growth. The growth of the U.S. has actually slowed down substantially since the 1990’s when America saw a great population boom. The reproduction rate is currently at 1.564%, factor in Immigration, and you have an estimate of the population in the next years. Current estimates for the year 2020 indicate that the population will be around 339million people. Fortunately, the United States will not have a problem in the coming years with population. The countries that will have problems are third world.

Recently, the Indian government released an estimate of their population; 1,129,866,154. Although reaching over a billion people is a great human achievement, it is should be an alarm to the world, as India is only a third the sixe of the U.S. Since the 1950s the government has taken steps to try and slow down the birth rate. New programs such as “India’s Family Planning Program” encouraged sterilization instead of methods of contraception. In some cases, such as in 1976, the Indian government implemented forced sterilization in poor villages. It appears that these various programs actually worked well. In 1991, India’s growth rate was at 2.15%, and by 1887, the figure dropped to 1.7%! It seems as though India has taken control of their growth problem.

In the long run, the UN reported that the population would eventually reach equilibrium. By 2300, poorer countries will realize the need of smaller families. “If fertility levels continue to fall, global population will stabilize three centuries from now at around 9 billion - a far less alarming figure than many have been predicting.” What is that figure? 1.4 trillion people by 2300! The study released by the UN stated that, “although fertility rates will decrease, the life expectancy will be greater.” This comes as a relief for many countries who are at doubts about whether to start a population control program.

In conclusion, there will be no mass starvation or disease, but an understanding by all people that this earth has limited resources, and that we must treasure and share the earth.